Video on the Net

dsiegel's picture

From Dennis Morton, VP of Product Commercialization at Global Crossing:

I received a mail from Jeff Pulver, as did all others on the VON mailing list on a new Video on the Net event, and I found some of his thoughts very interesting. He believes that there needs to be a major content owner willing to take a risk by leaving the model or distribution chain currently being used to go to an internet model before a real change can occur. That may be true, but there has to be more to it than that. So, I thought I’d pose a few questions to the blogosphere.

Q1. Do we really think that just getting content to the internet will cause people to watch it there? For example, people watch American Idol and many other reality TV shows as a family or group of friends on their TV sets. Should service providers or content providers be working with manufacturers of TV’s and set top boxes to enable Internet access (where the Internet just becomes just another channel) on that device, and should the content become available on such a device before or after making it available prime time for laptops, PDA’s, cell phones ,etc.?

Q2. Perhaps a viable business model that could work is having content shown at the same time via TV and the internet and then you would have the best of both worlds. Or it could end up being another us against them business situation fighting for customer/market share?

I'm not sure how successful itunes has been with selling TV shows after it they have aired but that revenue sharing model seems to be something the media types are open to.

Thanks for the email Dennis. I'm going to post a few of my own thoughts and then open it up to our readers to post their own thoughts.

To your question about Internet-enabling set top boxes and TV's, this is most likely where the IPTV set top boxes are going. Although the current thinking is that IPTV will be a walled-garden where your IPTV provider provides all the programming, these devices will have all the technology they need to access the Internet. In a duplicative market, where the supply chain for IPTV matches that of the existing TV media, this is where it ends. But in a disruptive environment, these closed IPTV networks get opened up so that content can be delivered from anywhere. At that point, any and all of the business models that you refer to may be valid, and content owners can choose which model is best for them.

I am glad that someone is spearheading the charge for change in the media industry. All of the IPTV conferences that I have attended have mostly skirted around the subject of complete upheaval of the supply chain, at least officially.

Jeff is right. It will take at least one, more likely a couple of big players to develop a supply and distribution model that enables them to cut some steps out of the existing chain, while enabling them to make more money. Hopefully we can get the big media companies to realize that TV is going the same way as the music industry, and fighting/resisting change is only going to get them so far.

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dsiegel – Tue, 2006 – 07 – 11 11:42

IPTV and the delivery aspect

Hi,

I think the conversation about how video being moved around by IP is really interesting and poses some issue for providers who don't own/control the last mile of the delivery infrastructure.

There are huge IPTV deployments going on right now and STB manufacturers are already turning to IP in order be able to facilitate the delivery of IP based video.

I don't believe this will be an either-or situation, but any IP based services will be supplemental to the existing ones. With HDTV becoming more and more popular, the ability to deliver HD video over IP links is going to be an interesting challenge for providers. The viewers (and console gamers) are all starting to buy flashy new High Definition TVs and they'll be looking at the quality of the video they get even more than ever before, so there'll probably be some bandwidth and quality of delivery issues keeping people awake at night while we're in the transitional period.

Andy

IPTV Andy (not verified) – Mon, 2007 – 01 – 15 09:51

IPTV

Who will produce the first show syndicated for distribution over the Internet as IPTV? This could be done today, and as I ask the question, I'll bet it already has an answer, so I'll ask a followup. Who will be the first to produce one that registers on the Nielson scale? In the interim, is there a play for amateur productions? Will neighborhood theaters start to work in video studios and put their work out for video podcasting or YouTube? A huge volume of interesting work could find its way to the public right now in this way. Downloadable content is key, too. Imagine if Netflix allowed you to download your movies. You wouldn't need instant downloading to make it worth your while. I'm not talking about streaming. Most music is not delivered in real time, either. I download songs to listen later. I would think a cable company could download on demand content to your DVR. Even a small selection of 1000 titles or so, delivered compressed and during off hours through your cable box to your DVR, would be a nice start. It wouldn't really be IPTV, I guess, but the same principle applies. Your DVR can now be your Media Center PC, and the file transfer could be made via your cable modem instead of your cable set top box. The library of video commercially available through that channel is small, though. There is a classic confrontation of rights management here. Cable companies believe what they are already paying should include on demand distribution, but content owners disagree. It's very much like music. When the rights are figured out, the content will explode. Until then, it will be viral, amateur, and underground or ignored illegal copies. The future is undoubtedly mass media. "Lost" on IPTV will trump any viral video, whenever it comes. The look of mass media is changing, though. Some have already given up their cable to rent tv shows from Netflix. I spend more money on my pay per view DirecTV movies than on Blockbuster, and I do so in part because they go straight to my DVR and I can keep them as long as I want to use up the hard drive space. The television viewing audience has long been fractured, with only events like the Super Bowl drawing the huge audiences TV shows used to bring in. We watch more TV than ever, yet fewer watch any one thing than ever. It's coming. Who knows quite what it will look like, but IPTV is coming, slowly but surely.

Nels Thompson (not verified) – Mon, 2006 – 07 – 17 01:52

Adult Entertainment: The Great Innovator...

Reading through your posting made me realize, changes to media are going to be spearheaded by the, ahem, Adult Entertainment Industry first, before mainstream media steps in to test the waters more.... And I say this with a slight grin, p0rn helped build the internet into what it is today ;-)

This industry is cutting edge - who started the great 976 phone wars? They've sinced upgraded to 10-10 dial-around service, and they were the first to foray into VoIP (a la Lavalife); they were the first to come up with mini "podcasts and live video podcasts". [Don't Ask.... ;-)]

Sigh, it now sounds like i know entirely too much.  But still, when i was a wee internet specialist a zillion years ago, they were my most innovative customers, pushing me to do unthinkable things ;-)

cheers, jules

jules (not verified) – Thu, 2006 – 07 – 13 19:00

addendum

lippard's picture

Any content provider with a large back catalog of rarities, old shows, out-takes, and so forth that isn't testing the idea of distributing some of it via iTunes Video, Google Video, or YouTube is missing the boat. There's an opportunity for making money via low-cost sales, by giving it away for free and including advertising, for sparking interest in new related content, or just generating goodwill.

One of the key points of the Eldred case before the U.S. Supreme Court was that the copyright term extension was dooming large amounts of content to *unavailability*. Unfortunately, many old films are disintegrating because they have not fallen into the public domain, as described in Michael Agee's (owner of the copyrights for Laurel and Hardy films) brief in support of Eldred. That's a sad waste.

lippard – Wed, 2006 – 07 – 12 01:10

long tail

lippard's picture

The answer to question one is clearly yes, most emphatically for content that you can't get or that's hard to find elsewhere. I know people who *only* watch television shows that they download from the Internet. I recently found the unaired original pilot of "Buffy the Vampire Slayer" on YouTube, which had been viewed over 35,000 times by the time I got to it. It's been online since March, and the content owner (News Corp.) may not be overly concerned since it's not likely to have anything but a positive impact on sales of DVDs and other Buffyverse-related merchandise.

Ultimately, I think the risk to big content owners that don't start moving to the Internet is becoming irrelevant--as you say, Dave, "TV is going the same way as the music industry."

lippard – Wed, 2006 – 07 – 12 00:47

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